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A Hard Month to Call

Bali by the Numbers: November '03 Arrivals Show Performance at Pre-1999 Levels.


(1/6/2004)

Bali Arrival StatisticsNovember 2003 direct foreign arrivals in Bali totaled 83,853 – numbers hard to call in determining whether or not Bali's tourism industry is returning to health. In fact, the totals suggest a retreat of over 5 years of tourism number growth in 2003.

Consider:

• November 2003 figures are up 166% from November 2002 (31,497), the month that felt the full negative brunt of the October 2002 terrorist attack.

• November 2003 was up 15.2% from November 2001 (72,806), the month still reeling from the world-wide slump on travel following the 9-11 attack in New York.

• November 2003 was down 23.87% from the same month in 2000 (110,145). Free of the effects of 9-11 and the Bali bombing, a comparison to 2000 may be more indicative of the level of visitor shortfall that Bali continues to experience.

• November 2003 arrivals were down 4.46% as compared to November 1999 (87,763).

Conclusion

Bali arrivals still lag some 25% over a "steady state" year comparison, with arrivals for most of 2004 hovering at levels reminiscent of 1997-1998 average arrival totals – losses equivalent to a retreat of over 5 years of tourism growth.



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