The latest international arrival figures collected at Bali's Airport give positive indication that the Island's tourism industry – as measured in terms of total arrivals – is on a quick mend. In April 2006 a total of 103,866 foreign visitors landed in Bali, a figure a mere -10.65% behind the total achieved in April 2005 (116,272).
A Narrowing Gap
In statistics it's trends that matter.
Although still lagging behind arrivals from last year, the -10.65% gap in April 2006 on April 2005 is a dramatic advance over the post-bombing month of November 2005 when international arrivals slumped -43.26%.
As shown on balidiscovery.com, a comparison on Bali arrivals for January-April for 2000-2006, show current tourism arrivals making significant strides every month in shaking off the ill-effects of October 2005's terrorist attack.
When viewed on a market-by-market basis, April 2006 arrival figures show:
• Australian arrivals for April (11,373) are down -45.74% from one year before. Although the absence of Australians on Bali is still sorely felt, current figures demonstrate concrete trends towards recovery from just a few months before when arrivals from that market were down more than 60%.
• Japan, Bali's number one in-bound market, was similarly affected by last year's bombing, dipping more than -60% in the months just following the event. Apparently recovering at an even faster-pace than the Australians, Japanese arrivals (17,352) improved markedly in April, down only -25.57% from the same month in 2005.
• Bali's third largest market of Taiwan put in a very solid performance in April 2006, posting 11,817 arrivals, that's an impressive +52.42% improvement over April 2005.
• South Korea, traditionally the fourth largest source of Bali visitors, produced 8,411 visitors to Bali in April 2006, down -24.03% from the same month one year before.
• ASEAN visitors in April totaled 10,958 – a figure down only -8.4% from 2005, again demonstrating a bounce back from this market.
• Arrivals from the Americas in April 2006 totaled 6,381, down -19.04% from April 2005.
• European arrivals offer perhaps the best proof of market recovery. 30,336 European visitors came to Bali in April 2006, an improvement of 1.9% over April 2005. A Tale of Two Bombings
Two graphics presented on balidiscovery.com
served to isolate the recovery patterns following the October 12, 2002 and October 1, 2005 terror attacks, examining arrival trends for the months September – April over both periods.
These charts suggest that the recovery from Bali's most recent terror attack is happening at both a faster pace and a higher aggregate level than was the case just 3 years before.
As already pointed out, April 2006 arrivals were down only -10.65% from April 2005. Looking back to April 2003 following Bali's first terror attack, arrivals in that month were much more severly affected, down -49.03% from April 2002.
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