Stacking Bali's Arrival Cards

(10/29/2006)

As reported on balidiscovery.com [A September Song], Bali arrivals through the end of the third quarter are down -21.92% when compared to the same period in 2005. Despite official assurance that “business is back to normal” there’s little evidence that the gap in business is narrowing with September 2006 arrivals month-on-month with September 2005 down -27%.

This installment of "Bali by the Numbers" graphically presents an overview of arrivals for January-September 2000-2006 from the following source markets:

• Total Foreign Arrivals – showing the seasonality of January–September arrivals has been maintained, albeit on a reduced level from 2004 and 2005, but somewhat higher than 2003 which was another "terrorist affected" year.

• Japanese Arrivals – September 2006 arrivals from the Japanese market are down -32.26 % from September 2005.

• Australian Arrivals – September month-on-month arrivals continue to occupy basement territories, down -55.05%. Perhaps most noteworthy, Australian arrivals are singular in operating at figures below arrivals in the post bombing year of 2003.

• Taiwanese Arrivals – Early signs of a possible weakening in Taiwanese arrivals may be contained in September arrivals, down -35.94 as compared to the same month last year.

•South Korean Arrivals – One of the few bright spots is the significant growth over the last 6 years from the South Korean market, up +1.58% month-on-month in September 2006.