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A Hard Month to Call

Bali by the Numbers: November '03 Arrivals Show Performance at Pre-1999 Levels.

(1/6/2004) Bali Arrival StatisticsNovember 2003 direct foreign arrivals in Bali totaled 83,853 numbers hard to call in determining whether or not Bali's tourism industry is returning to health. In fact, the totals suggest a retreat of over 5 years of tourism number growth in 2003.

Consider:

November 2003 figures are up 166% from November 2002 (31,497), the month that felt the full negative brunt of the October 2002 terrorist attack.

November 2003 was up 15.2% from November 2001 (72,806), the month still reeling from the world-wide slump on travel following the 9-11 attack in New York.

November 2003 was down 23.87% from the same month in 2000 (110,145). Free of the effects of 9-11 and the Bali bombing, a comparison to 2000 may be more indicative of the level of visitor shortfall that Bali continues to experience.

November 2003 arrivals were down 4.46% as compared to November 1999 (87,763).

Conclusion

Bali arrivals still lag some 25% over a "steady state" year comparison, with arrivals for most of 2004 hovering at levels reminiscent of 1997-1998 average arrival totals losses equivalent to a retreat of over 5 years of tourism growth.

 

More information: http://www.balidiscovery.com/misc/arrivals/TouristArrivals1999to2003.xls